Caribbean Growth Reads 4.4% — but Just 2.5% Without Guyana’s Oil

A widening split separates resource-rich producers from tourism-dependent economies across the region.

1 min read

Caribbean GDP is forecast to grow about 4.4% in 2026, but strip out Guyana’s oil-led surge and the regional figure falls to roughly 2.5%. The World Bank describes a widening divergence between resource-rich producers and tourism-dependent economies, the latter slowed by high import and energy costs and climate vulnerability. Guyana’s expansion — projected in the double digits — lifts the aggregate while masking softer momentum elsewhere, including in Jamaica and The Bahamas. For decision-makers and the diaspora, the headline number flatters a region where most economies are growing modestly and carrying high public debt.

Source: World Bank (Caribbean overview); One News SVG.